Overall agree. Still comes with risks.
Notably, if Lamar doesn't get what he wants on the market, there's no guarantee he signs Ravens deal either. He'll just sit out pretty much the whole offseason and then MAYBE sign the tag before the season. I suppose he could sit out into the season, but its also a pretty futile effort at that point that only costs him $.
Either way I think this gets resolved before the draft one way or another. If he doesn't get the offer he wants before the draft, he'll either play the year under the tag or sign whatever deal they agree to in July.