Tyler Linderbaum and Nnamdi Madabuike aside, which were homerun selections at their points, decrying late round players like Broderick Washington for turning into starters is a mad house of an assessment. Here's a recent study of the expected hit rates for NFL draftees based on their draft position:
7th rounders, selected at 192 plus that year's compensation totals, are almost surefire bets to not be impactful at less than 5% accuracy rate. On that list, that's OG Andrew Vorhees, C Nick Samac and OG Garrett Dellinger. The hit rate drops to under 20% as soon as the 3rd round. Of the interior defensive linemen that played over 100 snaps at NT, DT Travis Jones was the 5th highest graded players in the NFL. DT Aeneas Peebles is currently the 4th highest graded pass rusher out of a class of 26. There isn't an objective metric to qualify him as a failure for a 6th round selection, not to mention 3 games into the season. I can tell you confidently that none of the drafted edge rushers from 2025 are standouts at the moment. But I'm not willing to write off EDGE Abdul Carter because he's not an immediate star.
Don't get me wrong. Some of those guys absolutely belong on that list, and I personally questioned several from their selection stamps. OT Tyree Phillips, for example. That was one of John Harbaugh's, if I'm not mistaken. Obviously will always hope to be wrong since they're now part of the team. And I've also been critical of multiple Day 3 selections. But even in cases where I'd be right, the criticizing isn't always as simple. I signed DT Adin Huntington in the Forum Mock as a UDFA. He's the 2nd highest graded rookie, albeit in limited time. Did I like his chances? Absolutely. Maybe more hopeful than I should be. But can I pound my chest and tell you that I expected him to look this explosive out of the gate? Not if I'm being completely honest about it. Would've been great if we signed him, sure. But I also didn't see any of CB Keyon Martin, who looks like a potential future gem. And on that note, our UDFA hits always help level out some of the draft misses. That cannot go unnoticed.
A good exercise to help alleviate the expectations is to look at the other successful teams' classes. Watching the Chiefs draft EDGE Felix Anudike-Uzomah in the 1st round to help their pass rush woes and then still win the Super Bowl that year is a solid example of how much good teams can miss but still be contenders despite of those misses if they build the roster well enough.